Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 8-7-1
4–3
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 6-6-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
01311021514442
NYI
061102600322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 8-7-1 · NYI 6-6-4 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Islanders
The Oilers earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 1.7, and they won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 42 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 4.5 xG · 42 shots
NYI 1.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
OT · the swing
0.8 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 00:36 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 15:58 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 00:57 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 10:19 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:54 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:20 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 01:52 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 88.
EDM 88%NYI 12%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 00:36 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 15:58 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 00:57 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 10:19 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:54 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:20 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 01:52 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (46%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.