EDM
3–2
NSH
Final / OT · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-7-1
3–2
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-9-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
092150812334
NSH
18041901222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
EDM 9-7-1 · NSH 5-9-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
Oilers beat the Predators
The Oilers earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, and they won it in overtime on Nurse's goal. The Oilers owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 34 shots
NSH 1.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
3rd
0.4 · 0.4
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 08:22 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 02:44 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 05:30 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Cole Smith · 3rd 17:12 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Darnell Nurse · OT 02:33 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 80.
EDM 80%NSH 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 08:22 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 02:44 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 05:30 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Cole Smith · 3rd 17:12 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Darnell Nurse · OT 02:33 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
