Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 15-10-2
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 13-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1521016421
STL
01007214231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 15-10-2 · STL 13-13-2 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Blues
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.7 expected goals); the Oilers won 4–2. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 21 and 31 shots on goal.
EDM 3.0 xG · 21 shots
STL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Corey Perry · 1st 12:25 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:19 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:37 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 05:02 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 13:09 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Troy Stecher · 3rd 14:18 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 54.
EDM 54%STL 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Corey Perry · 1st 12:25 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:19 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:37 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 05:02 · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 13:09 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Troy Stecher · 3rd 14:18 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.