Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 16-10-2
2–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1811106225
TBL
071708122
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 16-10-2 · TBL 14-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.1 expected goals); the Oilers won 2–1. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 25 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 2.6 xG · 25 shots
TBL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 17:31 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 11:58 · 2–1
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 58.
EDM 58%TBL 42%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 17:31 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:02 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 11:58 · GWG · 2–1
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.