Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 18-10-2
6–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 19-8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
113411110634
VGK
09218115342
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
EDM 18-10-2 · VGK 19-8-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
Oilers beat the Golden Knights
The Oilers were outchanced (4.5 to 3.4 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Adin Hill allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 42 and 34 shots on goal.
EDM 3.4 xG · 34 shots
VGK 4.5 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.7
2nd
1.8 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 17:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:13 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Connor Brown · 2nd 06:53 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:46 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 12:53 · 5–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:35 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 16:01 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:00 · 5–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 01:38 · 6–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 35.
EDM 35%VGK 65%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 17:36 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 01:13 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Connor Brown · 2nd 06:53 · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:46 · GWG · 4–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 12:53 · 5–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:35 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 16:01 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:00 · SH · 5–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
· 3rd 01:38 · 6–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Unassisted · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5–3
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/34 saves · 6 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.