Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 23-12-3
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 16-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1719110326
ANA
01019110229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 23-12-3 · ANA 16-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Ducks
The Oilers earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Draisaitl's winner came with 1:35 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 3.1 xG · 26 shots
ANA 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 16:54 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:57 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brett Leason · 2nd 18:32 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 06:53 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 18:25 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 58.
EDM 58%ANA 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 16:54 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:57 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brett Leason · 2nd 18:32 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 06:53 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 18:25 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.