Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 29-15-3
2–3
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 32-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11001616232
WSH
131615314
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 29-15-3 · WSH 32-10-5 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Capitals
The Oilers created the better chances (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Logan Thompson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 14 shots on goal.
EDM 3.5 xG · 32 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 14 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 03:02 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 09:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Matt Roy · 2nd 08:14 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:49 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 04:50 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 66.
EDM 66%WSH 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 03:02 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 09:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Matt Roy · 2nd 08:14 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:49 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 04:50 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois, Connor McMichael · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.