EDM
3–4
TOR
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 32-16-4
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 31-19-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
014118216348
TOR
31205111428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 32-16-4 · TOR 31-19-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Oilers created the better chances (4.1 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 48 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 4.1 xG · 48 shots
TOR 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 06:32 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 09:08 · 0–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:50 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 11:27 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 3rd 00:18 · 1–4 · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 06:04 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Corey Perry · 3rd 11:33 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 80.
EDM 80%TOR 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 06:32 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 09:08 · PP · 0–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:50 · PP · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 11:27 · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 3rd 00:18 · GWG · 1–4
Deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 06:04 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Corey Perry · 3rd 11:33 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
45/48 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
