EDM
4–5
COL
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 34-17-4
4–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-22-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21121006427
COL
31217112531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 34-17-4 · COL 33-22-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.8 expected goals); the Oilers lost 4–5. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.8, on 27 and 31 shots on goal.
EDM 3.3 xG · 27 shots
COL 3.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
1.6 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 09:48 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 10:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Cale Makar · 1st 11:46 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 12:22 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 18:08 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 06:39 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 07:48 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (48%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:59 · 4–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:38 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 43.
EDM 43%COL 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 09:48 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 10:39 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Cale Makar · 1st 11:46 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 12:22 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 18:08 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 06:39 · SH · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 07:48 · PP · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (48%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:59 · 4–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:38 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
4
Adam Henrique, Kasperi Kapanen · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
