Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 35-22-4
2–6
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 27-26-7
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11209114235
ANA
4111719627
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
EDM 35-22-4 · ANA 27-26-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Ducks
The Oilers created the better chances (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–6. Calvin Pickard allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 3.8 xG · 35 shots
ANA 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 10:05 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Leo Carlsson · 1st 11:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 13:37 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Colangelo · 1st 18:26 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mason McTavish · 1st 18:38 · 1–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Ryan Strome · 2nd 13:22 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Killorn · 3rd 03:56 · 1–6 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 04:44 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 66.
EDM 66%ANA 34%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 10:05 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Leo Carlsson · 1st 11:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 13:37 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Colangelo · 1st 18:26 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mason McTavish · 1st 18:38 · 1–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Ryan Strome · 2nd 13:22 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Killorn · 3rd 03:56 · 1–6
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 04:44 · PP · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
4
Jackson LaCombe, Cutter Gauthier · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–3
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.