EDM
5–4
DAL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 37-22-4
5–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 41-20-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
3829010527
DAL
1807310425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 37-22-4 · DAL 41-20-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Stars
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.6 expected goals); the Oilers won 5–4. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
EDM 3.2 xG · 27 shots
DAL 3.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:48 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 06:12 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 12:26 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 17:42 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:20 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Connor Brown · 2nd 17:40 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 05:06 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 05:17 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
· 3rd 09:18 · 5–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 45.
EDM 45%DAL 55%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 05:48 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 06:12 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 12:26 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 17:42 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 05:20 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Connor Brown · 2nd 17:40 · GWG · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 05:06 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 05:17 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
9
· 3rd 09:18 · 5–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
