Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 40-24-4
7–1
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 30-27-11
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
315216212743
UTA
0919012130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
EDM 40-24-4 · UTA 30-27-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
Oilers beat the Mammoth
The Oilers earned it: 5.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 7–1 win to show for it. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 43 and 30 shots on goal.
EDM 5.8 xG · 43 shots
UTA 2.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.5 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
2.8 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 12:28 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:14 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:56 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:41 · 4–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (48%)
5
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 09:53 · 5–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sean Durzi · 2nd 16:26 · 5–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 00:33 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 02:36 · 7–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 90.
EDM 90%UTA 10%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 12:28 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:14 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:56 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:41 · 4–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (48%)
5
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 09:53 · 5–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sean Durzi · 2nd 16:26 · 5–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 00:33 · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 02:36 · 7–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.