EDM
3–4
WPG
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 40-24-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 48-18-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
141911001324
WPG
15171711420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 40-24-5 · WPG 48-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Jets
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.9 expected goals); the Oilers lost it in overtime on Connor's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 24 and 20 shots on goal.
EDM 3.2 xG · 24 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 05:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Cole Perfetti · 1st 13:39 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
· 2nd 05:30 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 07:41 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 03:56 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:26 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Kyle Connor · OT 01:13 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 55.
EDM 55%WPG 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 05:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Cole Perfetti · 1st 13:39 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
· 2nd 05:30 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 07:41 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 03:56 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:26 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
7
Kyle Connor · OT 01:13 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
3/4 saves · 1 GA · 0.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
