Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 41-25-5
3–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 46-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
014013317344
DAL
1531405424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
EDM 41-25-5 · DAL 46-21-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Stars
The Oilers created the better chances (4.8 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 44 and 24 shots on goal.
EDM 4.8 xG · 44 shots
DAL 2.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
2.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 14:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:01 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 10:42 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 15:30 · 0–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 09:30 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 13:54 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 18:35 · 3–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 78.
EDM 78%DAL 22%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 14:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:01 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 10:42 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 15:30 · PP · GWG · 0–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 09:30 · PP · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 13:54 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 18:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.