Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 42-26-5
3–2
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 34-26-12
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
071911211329
CGY
170121702228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 42-26-5 · CGY 34-26-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.3 expected goals); the Oilers won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 2.5 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.4
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 04:32 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 16:20 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Pachal · 3rd 07:55 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 16:48 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Leon Draisaitl · OT 02:25 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 53.
EDM 53%CGY 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 04:32 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 16:20 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden Pachal · 3rd 07:55 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 16:48 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Leon Draisaitl · OT 02:25 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.