EDM
4–3
STL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 45-28-5
4–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 43-30-7
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
0527211423
STL
1808210326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
EDM 45-28-5 · STL 43-30-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 3–0
Oilers beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Oilers won 4–3. Brown's winner came with 0:21 left. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 23 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 2.4 xG · 23 shots
STL 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Suter · 1st 08:44 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Connor Brown · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 12:39 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:14 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 01:41 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 05:25 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:39 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 45.
EDM 45%STL 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Suter · 1st 08:44 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Connor Brown · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 12:39 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:14 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 01:41 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 05:25 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:39 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
