Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-2
7–4
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
212112413737
LAK
11031008428
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
EDM 1-2 · LAK 2-1 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
Oilers beat the Kings
The Oilers earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 37 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 3.1 xG · 37 shots
LAK 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 02:49 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 08:43 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Adrian Kempe · 1st 17:18 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 05:43 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Drew Doughty · 2nd 15:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Connor Brown · 2nd 17:19 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Trevor Moore · 2nd 17:28 · 3–4 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:18 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 13:28 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 18:20 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
11
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:52 · 7–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 59.
EDM 59%LAK 41%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 02:49 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 08:43 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Adrian Kempe · 1st 17:18 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 05:43 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Drew Doughty · 2nd 15:07 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Connor Brown · 2nd 17:19 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Trevor Moore · 2nd 17:28 · 3–4
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:18 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 13:28 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 18:20 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
11
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 7–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.