EDM
4–3
LAK
Final / OT · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
0619216117448
LAK
1142140607341
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
EDM 2-2 · LAK 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Oilers beat the Kings
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Oilers erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Bouchard's equalizer with 0:29 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal. The Oilers owned the overtime, 1.5 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 3.3, on 48 and 41 shots on goal.
EDM 4.8 xG · 48 shots
LAK 3.3 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
1.7 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
OT · the swing
1.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor Moore · 1st 10:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:31 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 04:11 · 1–2 · bat shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 07:32 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 07:51 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 19:31 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 18:18 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 69.
EDM 69%LAK 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor Moore · 1st 10:35 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:31 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 04:11 · PP · 1–2
Bat shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 07:32 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 07:51 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 19:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 18:18 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
44/48 saves · 4 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
