EDM
6–4
LAK
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 4-2
6–4
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 2-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
3142817629
LAK
21015112427
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Oilers lead the series 4–2
EDM 4-2 · LAK 2-4 · Game 6 — the Oilers lead the series 4–2
Oilers beat the Kings
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.9 expected goals); the Oilers won 6–4. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.9, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 3.8 xG · 29 shots
LAK 3.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Quinton Byfield · 1st 01:19 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:04 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Brandt Clarke · 1st 03:37 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 05:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 12:49 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 14:59 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Trent Frederic · 2nd 16:35 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Jordan Spence · 2nd 18:01 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 19:05 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:58 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 49.
EDM 49%LAK 51%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Quinton Byfield · 1st 01:19 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:04 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Brandt Clarke · 1st 03:37 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 05:55 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 12:49 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 14:59 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Trent Frederic · 2nd 16:35 · GWG · 5–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Jordan Spence · 2nd 18:01 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 19:05 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
5
Darnell Nurse, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–2
2nd period
6
Vasily Podkolzin, Mattias Janmark · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
