EDM
3–4
VGK
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-3
3–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
260717320
VGK
291718424
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers lead the series 2–1
EDM 6-3 · VGK 5-4 · Game 3 — the Oilers lead the series 2–1
Oilers fell to the Golden Knights
The Oilers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Golden Knights came back with four unanswered goals — Smith's equalizer — and won 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 20 and 24 shots on goal.
EDM 2.9 xG · 20 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 1.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Corey Perry · 1st 07:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Corey Perry · 1st 11:12 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Nicolas Roy · 1st 15:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Reilly Smith · 1st 16:11 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 17:05 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 16:58 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Reilly Smith · 3rd 19:59 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 46.
EDM 46%VGK 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Corey Perry · 1st 07:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Corey Perry · 1st 11:12 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Nicolas Roy · 1st 15:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Reilly Smith · 1st 16:11 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 17:05 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 16:58 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Reilly Smith · 3rd 19:59 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
