EDM
3–0
VGK
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 7-3
3–0
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21511007332
VGK
0507011023
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Oilers lead the series 3–1
EDM 7-3 · VGK 5-5 · Game 4 — the Oilers lead the series 3–1
Oilers beat the Golden Knights
The Oilers earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, and a 3–0 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
EDM 3.0 xG · 32 shots
VGK 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 01:27 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 13:03 · 2–0 · between legs shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evander Kane · 2nd 07:38 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 62.
EDM 62%VGK 38%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 01:27 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 13:03 · 2–0
Between legs shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Evander Kane · 2nd 07:38 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
23/23 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
