EDM
4–1
DAL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 11-4
4–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 9-8
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
110110213433
DAL
0161904129
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Oilers lead the series 3–1
EDM 11-4 · DAL 9-8 · Game 4 — the Oilers lead the series 3–1
Oilers beat the Stars
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.5 expected goals); the Oilers won 4–1. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.5, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 3.4 xG · 33 shots
DAL 3.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:23 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 06:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 09:20 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 17:33 · 3–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
5
Adam Henrique · 3rd 19:10 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 48.
EDM 48%DAL 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:23 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 06:57 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 09:20 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 17:33 · EN · 3–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
5
Adam Henrique · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
