Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
11418114110446
FLA
271170206332
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Oilers lead the series 1–0
EDM 13-4 · FLA 12-6 · Game 1 — the Oilers lead the series 1–0
Oilers beat the Panthers
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Oilers erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Ekholm's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.6, on 46 and 32 shots on goal.
EDM 4.4 xG · 46 shots
FLA 3.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.2
OT
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 01:06 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 10:49 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Brad Marchand · 1st 12:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 02:00 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 03:17 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 06:33 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 19:29 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 60.
EDM 60%FLA 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 01:06 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 10:49 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Brad Marchand · 1st 12:30 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 02:00 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 03:17 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 06:33 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 19:29 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.