EDM
4–5
FLA
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-5
4–5
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-6
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
EDM
314091901400446
FLA
2112140501210542
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
EDM 13-5 · FLA 13-6 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Oilers fell to the Panthers
The Oilers created the better chances (5.3 to 4.7 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Marchand's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 4.7, on 46 and 42 shots on goal.
EDM 5.3 xG · 46 shots
FLA 4.7 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.9 · 1.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
OT
0.9 · 1.2
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 02:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Evander Kane · 1st 07:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Evan Bouchard · 1st 09:19 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Seth Jones · 1st 11:37 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:37 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dmitry Kulikov · 2nd 08:23 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 2nd 12:09 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 19:42 · 4–4 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Brad Marchand · 2OT 08:05 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 57.
EDM 57%FLA 43%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 02:07 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Evander Kane · 1st 07:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Evan Bouchard · 1st 09:19 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Seth Jones · 1st 11:37 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:37 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dmitry Kulikov · 2nd 08:23 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 2nd 12:09 · SH · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Corey Perry · 3rd 19:42 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Brad Marchand · 2OT 08:05 · GWG · 4–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/42 saves · 5 GA · 4.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 5.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
