Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 0-0-1
3–4
Final / SOL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 1-0-0
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
EDM
2911109060335
CGY
042718031422
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 0-0-1 · CGY 1-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Flames
The Oilers let a 3–0 lead get away: the Flames came back with three unanswered goals — Coleman's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 3.3 xG · 35 shots
CGY 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
OT
0.9 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 09:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 16:11 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 08:32 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 12:40 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Connor Zary · 2nd 14:47 · 3–2 · bat shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 00:40 · 3–3 · poke shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 75.
EDM 75%CGY 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 09:53 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 16:11 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 08:32 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 12:40 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Connor Zary · 2nd 14:47 · PP · 3–2
Bat shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 00:40 · 3–3
Poke shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:51
Morgan Frost· Delaying game puck over glass
Nugent-Hopkins scored on this power play
Minor
1
Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Power play (Frost, delaying game puck over glass) · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:04
· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:40
Adam Klapka· Hooking
Draisaitl scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:38
· High-sticking
Zary scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
MacKenzie Weegar· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
03:31
MacKenzie Weegar· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:47
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:52
Adam Klapka· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:23
Trent Frederic· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Connor McDavid
Save
2
Justin Kirkland
Save
3
Leon Draisaitl
Goal
4
Morgan Frost
Goal
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Save
6
Rasmus Andersson
Save
7
Save
8
Matt Coronato
Miss
9
Isaac Howard
Miss
10
Matvei Gridin
Save
11
Matt Savoie
Save
12
Yegor Sharangovich
Miss
13
Evan Bouchard
Save
14
Connor Zary
Save
15
Kasperi Kapanen
Miss
16
Nazem Kadri
Goal
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Oilers went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Flames power plays.