EDM
3–4
BUF
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-11-6
3–4
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 12-14-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
0801031200330
BUF
172140611428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 13-11-6 · BUF 12-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.7 expected goals); the Oilers lost it in overtime on Tuch's goal. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 2.9 xG · 30 shots
BUF 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.4 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Doan · 1st 19:01 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 11:03 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Josh Doan · 2nd 11:59 · 0–3 · between legs shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 00:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:56 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:58 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
7
Alex Tuch · OT 00:33 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 53.
EDM 53%BUF 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Doan · 1st 19:01 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 11:03 · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Josh Doan · 2nd 11:59 · PP · 0–3
Between legs shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 00:10 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:56 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:58 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
7
Alex Tuch · OT 00:33 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:51
Darnell Nurse· Boarding
Darnell Nurse· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:28
· Interference goalkeeper
· Interference goalkeeper
Doan scored on this power play
Minor
1
Rasmus Dahlin, Tage Thompson · Power play (interference goalkeeper) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:27
Jack Quinn· Hooking
Jack Quinn· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:19
Zach Hyman· Interference
Zach Hyman· Interference
Doan scored on this power play
Minor
3
Tage Thompson, Rasmus Dahlin · Power play (Hyman, interference) · between legs shot, a good chance (17%)
0–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:31
Beck Malenstyn· Delaying game puck over glass
Beck Malenstyn· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
3rd period
5
Leon Draisaitl, Ty Emberson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:51
Rasmus Dahlin· Tripping
Rasmus Dahlin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:51
Zach Hyman· Hooking
Zach Hyman· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:59
Adam Henrique· Tripping
Adam Henrique· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:11
Alex Tuch· Hooking
Alex Tuch· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:17
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins· Hooking
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Oilers went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 6 Sabres power plays.