Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 18-13-6
4–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 16-8-10
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
2122603421
VGK
08110213331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 18-13-6 · VGK 16-8-10 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Golden Knights
The Oilers were outchanced (4.2 to 2.7 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Carter Hart allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
EDM 2.7 xG · 21 shots
VGK 4.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 09:11 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 14:37 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 02:22 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:45 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 12:59 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 03:52 · 4–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:49 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 28.
EDM 28%VGK 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 09:11 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 14:37 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 02:22 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:45 · GWG · 4–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 12:59 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 03:52 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:49 · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:47
Andrew Mangiapane· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:57
Leon Draisaitl· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:58
Ben Hutton· Hooking
Nugent-Hopkins scored on this power play
Minor
2
Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Power play (Hutton, hooking) · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:26
Andrew Mangiapane· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:56
Jeremy Lauzon· Interference
Nugent-Hopkins scored on this power play
Minor
3
Connor McDavid, Zach Hyman · Power play (Lauzon, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:06
Adam Henrique· High-sticking
Hertl scored on this power play
Minor
5
Mitch Marner, Noah Hanifin · Power play (Henrique, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Alec Regula· Hooking
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
6
Tomas Hertl, Noah Hanifin · Power play (Regula, hooking) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:32
Brett Howden· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Oilers went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Golden Knights power plays.