Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 20-16-6
2–5
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 21-12-7
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1141506225
PHI
3901129529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 20-16-6 · PHI 21-12-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Oilers lost 2–5. Calvin Pickard allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 2.5 xG · 25 shots
PHI 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Denver Barkey · 1st 07:16 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 10:31 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Bobby Brink · 1st 14:38 · 0–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:08 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 09:54 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nick Seeler · 3rd 09:09 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:50 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 46.
EDM 46%PHI 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Denver Barkey · 1st 07:16 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 10:31 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Bobby Brink · 1st 14:38 · GWG · 0–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:08 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 09:54 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nick Seeler · 3rd 09:09 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
15:40
Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:40
Garnet Hathaway· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:47
Matvei Michkov· High-sticking
Bouchard scored on this power play
Minor
5
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Power play (Michkov, high-sticking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:42
Rodrigo Abols· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:25
Alec Regula· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:20
Mattias Ekholm· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Garnet Hathaway· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Oilers went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Flyers power plays.