Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 21-16-6
6–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
112316215643
NSH
0907210226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 21-16-6 · NSH 19-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Predators
The Oilers earned it: 5.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–2 win to show for it. The Oilers owned the 2nd period, 2.5 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 43 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 5.8 xG · 43 shots
NSH 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.5 · 0.2
3rd
2.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 08:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 15:53 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Curtis Lazar · 2nd 16:15 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 18:52 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:48 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Nick Blankenburg · 3rd 04:03 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 13:46 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:03 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 91.
EDM 91%NSH 9%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 08:53 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 15:53 · PS · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Curtis Lazar · 2nd 16:15 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 18:52 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:48 · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Nick Blankenburg · 3rd 04:03 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 13:46 · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:03 · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:19
Michael McCarron· High-sticking
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
1
Evan Bouchard, Leon Draisaitl · Power play (McCarron, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:02
Alec Regula· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
15:53
Adam Wilsby· Ps holding on breakaway
Penalty shot
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:25
Matt Savoie· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:25
Brady Skjei· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/43 saves · 6 GA · 5.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Oilers went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Predators power plays.