Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 26-19-8
6–5
Final / OTW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 25-21-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
11011231612640
WSH
1221321200527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 26-19-8 · WSH 25-21-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Capitals
The Oilers earned it: 6.7 expected goals to 3.0, and they won it in overtime on McDavid's goal. Connor Ingram allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 6.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 40 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 6.7 xG · 40 shots
WSH 3.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
2nd
1.9 · 0.9
3rd
2.4 · 1.7
OT
0.9 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 19:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 19:34 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 04:13 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 06:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 14:29 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 04:30 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Strome · 3rd 06:40 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 08:24 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Connor McMichael · 3rd 15:09 · 4–5 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
10
Zach Hyman · 3rd 19:28 · 5–5 · tip in shot, a great chance (35%)
11
Connor McDavid · OT 00:47 · 6–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (65%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 88.
EDM 88%WSH 12%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 19:12 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 19:34 · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 04:13 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 06:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 14:29 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 04:30 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Strome · 3rd 06:40 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 08:24 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Connor McMichael · 3rd 15:09 · 4–5
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
10
Zach Hyman · 3rd 19:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Tip in shot, a great chance (35%)
11
Connor McDavid · OT 00:47 · GWG · 6–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (65%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:14
Vasily Podkolzin· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:30
Leon Draisaitl· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:36
Charlie Lindgren· Tripping
Killed
Minor
4
Hendrix Lapierre, Connor McMichael · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
16:11
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:57
Jakob Chychrun· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:54
Trevor van Riemsdyk· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
03:58
Curtis Lazar· High-sticking
Strome scored on this power play
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:00
Tom Wilson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
7
Jakob Chychrun, Tom Wilson · Power play (Lazar, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:46
Matt Roy· Hooking
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
8
Evan Bouchard, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Power play (Roy, hooking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Ty Emberson· Holding
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Oilers went 1-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Capitals power plays.