EDM
7–4
ANA
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 27-19-8
7–4
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 28-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11241525732
ANA
112213116441
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 27-19-8 · ANA 28-22-3 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Ducks
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.5 expected goals); the Oilers won 7–4. Ville Husso allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.5, on 32 and 41 shots on goal.
EDM 3.9 xG · 32 shots
ANA 3.5 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.3
2nd
1.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Alex Killorn · 2nd 00:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 04:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 06:28 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:34 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 08:25 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 13:41 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 13:38 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 18:12 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 19:49 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 56.
EDM 56%ANA 44%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 7 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 03:24 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Alex Killorn · 2nd 00:55 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 04:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 06:28 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:34 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 08:25 · GWG · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 13:41 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 13:38 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 18:12 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 19:49 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:39
Jack Roslovic· Hooking
Jack Roslovic· Hooking
Granlund scored on this power play
Minor
1
Chris Kreider, Cutter Gauthier · Power play (Roslovic, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:37
Jansen Harkins· Interference goalkeeper
Jansen Harkins· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
14:58
Ryan Strome· High-sticking
Ryan Strome· High-sticking
Hyman scored on this power play
Double minor
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Leon Draisaitl · Power play (Strome, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:25
Matt Savoie· High-sticking
Matt Savoie· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
03:18
Jacob Trouba· Ps tripping on breakaway
Jacob Trouba· Ps tripping on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:08
Ty Emberson· Hooking
Ty Emberson· Hooking
Granlund scored on this power play
Minor
8
Beckett Sennecke · Power play (Emberson, hooking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:43
Matt Savoie· Tripping
Matt Savoie· Tripping
Granlund scored on this power play
Minor
9
Beckett Sennecke, Jackson LaCombe · Power play (Savoie, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5–4
Goaltending
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Oilers went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 3 on 4 Ducks power plays.