EDM
2–5
TOR
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 28-21-8
2–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-21-9
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
09117110236
TOR
0821237527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 28-21-8 · TOR 27-21-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Oilers created the better chances (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Anthony Stolarz stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 3.4 xG · 36 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 07:12 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Walman · 2nd 11:09 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 11:18 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:27 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 07:42 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 08:13 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:22 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 58.
EDM 58%TOR 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 8 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 07:12 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Walman · 2nd 11:09 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 11:18 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:27 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 07:42 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 08:13 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:22 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:00
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:24
Andrew Mangiapane· Roughing
Andrew Mangiapane· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:24
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
5 min
Major
05:17
Brandon Carlo· Fighting
Brandon Carlo· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:17
Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:38
Matt Savoie· Interference
Matt Savoie· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:44
Mattias Janmark· High-sticking
Mattias Janmark· High-sticking
Tavares scored on this power play
Minor
5
William Nylander, Matthew Knies · Power play (Janmark, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
2–3
6
Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Power play (Janmark, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2–4
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
18:56
Trent Frederic· Misconduct
Trent Frederic· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Oilers went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Maple Leafs power plays.