EDM
2–5
TBL
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 34-28-9
2–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 43-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11101116228
TBL
0931326528
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 34-28-9 · TBL 43-21-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Lightning
The Oilers were outchanced (3.0 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 1.9 xG · 27 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:37 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 01:37 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:58 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Josh Samanski · 3rd 07:16 · 2–3
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 15:32 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:28 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 31.
EDM 31%TBL 69%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 12 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:37 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 01:37 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:13 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:58 · SH · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Josh Samanski · 3rd 07:16 · 2–3
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 15:32 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:03
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:03
Connor McDavid· Roughing
Connor McDavid· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
10:29
Pontus Holmberg· Fighting
Pontus Holmberg· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
10:29
Connor Murphy· Fighting
Connor Murphy· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:03
Darnell Nurse· Illegal check to head
Darnell Nurse· Illegal check to head
Guentzel scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
11:03
Anthony Cirelli· Fighting
Anthony Cirelli· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
11:03
Vasily Podkolzin· Fighting
Vasily Podkolzin· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3
Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point · Power play (Nurse, illegal check to head) · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:06
Connor McDavid· Holding
Connor McDavid· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:47
Nikita Kucherov· Tripping
Nikita Kucherov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:34
Yanni Gourde· Slashing
Yanni Gourde· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:50
Max Jones· Hooking
Max Jones· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:09
Erik Cernak· Cross-checking
Erik Cernak· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Oilers went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Lightning power plays.