EDM
4–3
ANA
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-0
4–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21401228434
ANA
04313011328
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Oilers lead the series 1–0
EDM 1-0 · ANA 0-1 · Game 1 — the Oilers lead the series 1–0
Oilers beat the Ducks
The Oilers earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Kapanen's winner came with 1:54 left. The Oilers owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 4.1 xG · 34 shots
ANA 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Dickinson · 1st 17:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 18:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 00:19 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:38 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Troy Terry · 2nd 14:29 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 11:30 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 18:06 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 65.
EDM 65%ANA 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Dickinson · 1st 17:21 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 18:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 00:19 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:38 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Troy Terry · 2nd 14:29 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 11:30 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 18:06 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:19
Jake Walman· Tripping
Jake Walman· Tripping
Killed
Minor
4
Troy Terry, Chris Kreider · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:59
Alex Killorn· Tripping
Alex Killorn· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:24
Darnell Nurse· Cross-checking
Darnell Nurse· Cross-checking
Terry scored on this power play
Minor
5
John Carlson, Mikael Granlund · Power play (Nurse, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:54
Alex Killorn· Slashing
Alex Killorn· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
6
Mattias Ekholm, Jake Walman · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–3
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Oilers went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Ducks power plays.