FLA
2–4
WSH
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 0-1
2–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
110110012232
WSH
11701437438
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Panthers trail the series 0–1
FLA 0-1 · WSH 1-0 · Game 1 — the Panthers trail the series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Capitals
The Panthers were outchanced (3.4 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Capitals owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 38 and 32 shots on goal.
FLA 2.2 xG · 32 shots
WSH 3.4 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 03:47 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 17:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 00:43 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 08:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 10:37 · 2–3 · tip in shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 19:11 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 30.
FLA 30%WSH 70%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 03:47 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 17:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 00:43 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 08:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 10:37 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 19:11 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
