FLA
5–1
WSH
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-1
5–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
27312017536
WSH
01111303127
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
FLA 1-1 · WSH 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Panthers beat the Capitals
The Panthers earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Vitek Vanecek allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 3.6 xG · 36 shots
WSH 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 16:20 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 17:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nicklas Backstrom · 2nd 02:44 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:11 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 15:24 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:32 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 70.
FLA 70%WSH 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 16:20 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 17:58 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nicklas Backstrom · 2nd 02:44 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:11 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 15:24 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:32 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
