FLA
5–3
WSH
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 3-2
5–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
01531528538
WSH
110210013333
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Panthers lead the series 3–2
FLA 3-2 · WSH 2-3 · Game 5 — the Panthers lead the series 3–2
Panthers beat the Capitals
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Panthers erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Reinhart's equalizer — and won 5–3. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 4.1, on 38 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 3.7 xG · 38 shots
WSH 4.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
1.7 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 07:09 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Justin Schultz · 2nd 02:13 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 03:38 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 06:50 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Patric Hornqvist · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:44 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 03:04 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:55 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 45.
FLA 45%WSH 55%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 07:09 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Justin Schultz · 2nd 02:13 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 03:38 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 06:50 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Patric Hornqvist · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:44 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 03:04 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:55 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
