Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-4
1–2
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
010116010136
TBL
1601418228
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Panthers trail the series 0–2
FLA 4-4 · TBL 6-3 · Game 2 — the Panthers trail the series 0–2
Panthers fell to the Lightning
The Panthers created the better chances (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Colton's winner came with 0:04 left. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 36 shots
TBL 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Corey Perry · 1st 12:06 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 18:07 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 62.
FLA 62%TBL 38%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Corey Perry · 1st 12:06 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 18:07 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:56 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.