FLA
2–3
TBL
Final / OT · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 3-1-1
2–3
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-3-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
1181120701238
TBL
180131912332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 3-1-1 · TBL 2-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Lightning
The Panthers were outchanced (3.6 to 3.0 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Point's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 32 and 38 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 38 shots
TBL 3.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.2
OT
0.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:04 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 15:48 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Rudolfs Balcers · 2nd 15:37 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:29 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 02:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 41.
FLA 41%TBL 59%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:04 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 15:48 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Rudolfs Balcers · 2nd 15:37 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 09:29 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 02:08 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–2
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
