Florida Panthers
FLA · 5-3-1
5–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
226121211558
OTT
0421319326
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 5-3-1 · OTT 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Senators
The Panthers earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it. The Panthers owned the 1st period, 1.9 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 58 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 4.6 xG · 58 shots
OTT 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.5 · 1.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 07:59 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 11:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 2nd 00:37 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 03:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 19:23 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Holden · 3rd 11:56 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 16:28 · 4–3 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:46 · 5–3 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 77.
FLA 77%OTT 23%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 07:59 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 11:54 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 2nd 00:37 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 03:23 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 19:23 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Holden · 3rd 11:56 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 16:28 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
5
Brandon Montour, Aleksander Barkov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
53/57 saves · 4 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.