Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-6-1
5–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 7-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
12211437543
WSH
09112122243
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 9-6-1 · WSH 7-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Capitals
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.4 expected goals); the Panthers won 5–2. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.4, on 43 and 43 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 43 shots
WSH 3.4 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 05:45 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 03:46 · 2–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:04 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Nick Cousins · 3rd 07:02 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Carlson · 3rd 11:15 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 17:00 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:36 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 44.
FLA 44%WSH 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 05:45 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 03:46 · PP · 2–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:04 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Nick Cousins · 3rd 07:02 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
John Carlson · 3rd 11:15 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 17:00 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:36 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.