Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-7-2
4–5
Final / SOL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 8-7-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
0921429030435
CGY
19214111011535
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 9-7-2 · CGY 8-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Flames
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Panthers lost it in a shootout. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 35 and 35 shots on goal.
FLA 2.6 xG · 35 shots
CGY 2.9 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 15:13 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 00:50 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Colin White · 2nd 03:30 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Adam Ruzicka · 2nd 12:58 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:12 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:56 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 13:46 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 44.
FLA 44%CGY 56%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 15:13 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 00:50 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Colin White · 2nd 03:30 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:56 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Adam Ruzicka · 2nd 12:58 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:12 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:56 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 13:46 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flames
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.