FLA
5–2
BOS
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 10-8-2
5–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 17-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1931814531
BOS
11901119239
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 10-8-2 · BOS 17-3-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers beat the Bruins
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.5 expected goals); the Panthers won 5–2. Spencer Knight stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.5, on 31 and 39 shots on goal.
FLA 3.4 xG · 31 shots
BOS 3.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 2.0
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 01:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 17:14 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 04:41 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:31 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:46 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 06:20 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 17:50 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 49.
FLA 49%BOS 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 01:49 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 17:14 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 04:41 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:31 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:46 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 06:20 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 17:50 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
