FLA
5–1
DET
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-10-4
5–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-8-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11541907541
DET
0511005120
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 13-10-4 · DET 13-8-5 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Red Wings
The Panthers earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 41 and 20 shots on goal.
FLA 3.5 xG · 41 shots
DET 2.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chris Tierney · 1st 18:05 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 01:47 · 2–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Josh Mahura · 2nd 02:45 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 08:08 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Matt Kiersted · 2nd 14:52 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 15:37 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 70.
FLA 70%DET 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chris Tierney · 1st 18:05 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 01:47 · GWG · 2–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Josh Mahura · 2nd 02:45 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 08:08 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Matt Kiersted · 2nd 14:52 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 15:37 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Aleksander Barkov, Sam Reinhart · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
