Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-15-4
2–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 22-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
112114010236
NJD
18015310433
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 15-15-4 · NJD 22-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Devils
The Panthers created the better chances (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 36 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 4.2 xG · 36 shots
NJD 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Staal · 1st 04:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 07:01 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 16:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 02:44 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 10:10 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 19:20 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 70.
FLA 70%NJD 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Staal · 1st 04:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 07:01 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 16:12 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 02:44 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 10:10 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Jonas Siegenthaler, Michael McLeod · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.