Florida Panthers
FLA · 23-20-5
5–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 25-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1621328527
MIN
09110213332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 23-20-5 · MIN 25-16-4 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Wild
The Panthers were outchanced (3.7 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 2.8 xG · 27 shots
MIN 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 19:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 01:40 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Boldy · 2nd 08:56 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 19:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 04:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 07:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 18:34 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:21 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 37.
FLA 37%MIN 63%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 19:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 01:40 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matt Boldy · 2nd 08:56 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 19:32 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 04:37 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 07:51 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 18:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:21 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.