Florida Panthers
FLA · 24-22-6
4–3
Final / OTW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 38-6-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
0911421311437
BOS
1171171600340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
FLA 24-22-6 · BOS 38-6-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Panthers beat the Bruins
The Panthers were outchanced (4.1 to 3.1 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Reinhart's goal anyway. Alex Lyon stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 40 and 37 shots on goal.
FLA 3.1 xG · 37 shots
BOS 4.1 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Craig Smith · 1st 16:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 2nd 08:55 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 17:55 · 1–2
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 08:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 19:11 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 19:57 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Sam Reinhart · OT 00:17 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 35.
FLA 35%BOS 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Craig Smith · 1st 16:50 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 2nd 08:55 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 17:55 · 1–2
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 08:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 19:11 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 19:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Sam Reinhart · OT 00:17 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Aleksander Barkov, Matthew Tkachuk · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.