Florida Panthers
FLA · 25-22-6
7–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11732339749
TBL
01111408133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 25-22-6 · TBL 32-16-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
Panthers beat the Lightning
The Panthers earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.9, and a 7–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 49 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 4.5 xG · 49 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
2.4 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 08:04 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 01:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 03:02 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:40 · 3–1 · bat shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 17:56 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Eric Staal · 3rd 02:53 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 05:26 · 6–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 14:23 · 7–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 72.
FLA 72%TBL 28%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 08:04 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 01:42 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 03:02 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:40 · 3–1
Bat shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 17:56 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Eric Staal · 3rd 02:53 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 05:26 · 6–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 14:23 · PP · 7–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Brandon Montour, Carter Verhaeghe · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
42/49 saves · 7 GA · 4.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.