Florida Panthers
FLA · 26-22-6
4–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 16-26-11
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
011218213442
SJS
11501009134
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 26-22-6 · SJS 16-26-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Sharks
The Panthers were outchanced (3.9 to 3.0 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 42 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 42 shots
SJS 3.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Barabanov · 1st 05:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:19 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Eric Staal · 3rd 18:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
5
Eric Staal · 3rd 18:55 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 37.
FLA 37%SJS 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Barabanov · 1st 05:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:19 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Eric Staal · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
5
Eric Staal · 3rd 18:55 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.