FLA
3–5
COL
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 26-23-6
3–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
011218116345
COL
220218112550
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 26-23-6 · COL 28-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (4.0 to 4.3 expected goals); the Panthers lost 3–5. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.0 expected goals to 4.3, on 45 and 50 shots on goal.
FLA 4.0 xG · 45 shots
COL 4.3 xG · 50 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
2nd
2.0 · 1.6
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 03:35 · 0–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Matt Nieto · 1st 08:04 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 07:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Devon Toews · 2nd 08:33 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:01 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 11:03 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:01 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 46.
FLA 46%COL 54%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 03:35 · SH · 0–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Matt Nieto · 1st 08:04 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 07:03 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:08 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Devon Toews · 2nd 08:33 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:01 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 11:03 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:01 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
45/49 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
